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News ID: 155769
Publish Date : 14 November 2026 - 22:27

U.S. Economist Warns Trump’s War on Iran Could Cost $1 Trillion

WASHINGTON -- Steve Hanke, a professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, has estimated that the Trump administration’s war on Iran will ultimately cost $1 trillion, dismissing the figures presented to Congress by U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth as “tiny numbers.” 
Writing on X on Saturday, Hanke urged lawmakers to “forget the tiny numbers” and warned that “at the end of the day, the Iran war will cost $1 trillion.” 
His remarks come as Democratic lawmakers intensify pressure on Hegseth over the war’s mounting costs and consequences, with some calling for his removal.
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said earlier this month that Hegseth had abused his power and engineered a costly war that has driven up prices for Americans without advancing any legitimate security interest. 
Jeffries also said he would support a forthcoming impeachment resolution against the war secretary. 
Democrats, who secured majorities in both chambers in the November 3 midterm elections and are set to take control of Congress, are also challenging the administration over the war’s financial cost and demanding greater accountability for military spending.
The Pentagon has reported that the cost of the U.S. war against Iran reached $47.1 billion through October 16, an increase of $3.5 billion since early September. 
That figure includes approximately $29 billion to replace expended munitions, $11.9 billion in operational costs, and around $6 billion in damaged or lost military equipment. 
It does not, however, include the cost of repairing damage to U.S. military bases across the region from

 
  Iranian retaliatory strikes, nor the accumulated cost of rising energy and commodity prices.
The war’s economic impact has been reflected in soaring global fuel prices since February 28, as restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have disrupted a vital corridor for global oil and gas supplies. 
Iran imposed strict maritime restrictions on the strategic waterway, requiring vessels to obtain prior authorization and use designated northern corridors for transit. 
Tehran has declared southern routes unauthorized and says they are heavily mined, warning that ships serving the interests of the aggressors will face consequences. The Strait of Hormuz normally carries around one-fifth of global petroleum consumption.
A study by the Finland-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air estimates that supply disruptions linked to the war have cost consumers worldwide an additional $468 billion in gasoline and diesel spending. 
On a per-capita basis, U.S. consumers have paid an average of $471 more for fuel since the war began, nearly eight times the estimated global average of $60. 
CREA attributed the disproportionate burden on American households to the country’s heavy reliance on private vehicles, longer travel distances, and a relatively slow transition to electric vehicles. 
The growing financial toll has also intensified opposition to the war in Congress, with Democratic lawmakers demanding that any year-end spending deal prevent further funding for the conflict.

 

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