ANKARA (Middle East Eye) – Turkey is at risk of losing billions of dollars in revenue as a global finance watchdog prepares to place the country on a grey list of countries that failed to combat money laundering and terrorist financing, according to a news report citing western officials.
The Financial Times on Wednesday reported that the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) was likely to approve placing Turkey on its grey list on Thursday.
If Turkey goes on the grey list, it will be monitored by the FATF’s task force under special measures. Other countries listed on FATF’s grey list include South Sudan.
The move is expected to deal a heavy blow to Turkey’s fragile economy, with its currency already recording record losses against the U.S. dollar.
Since the beginning of this year, the Turkish lira has lost nearly 20 percent of its value.
The lira could depreciate further if Turkey’s Central Bank, already under pressure from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, cuts rates on Thursday.
Earlier this year, an IMF report found that the FATF grey-listing could negatively affect a country’s short-term capital inflows significantly.
The report said it would cost an equivalent to 3 percent of gross domestic product and an additional reduction in foreign direct investment.
According to the FT’s calculations, a 3 percent decline would be equivalent to about $23bn in Turkey.
The Turkish government last year passed some legislation to satisfy FATF’s concerns.
But Turkey’s opposition criticized some of the laws as including measures that could be used to shut down NGOs and aid groups in a country where freedom of assembly and protest is already severely restricted.